Saturday, August 15, 2009

Money Management

Money management is perhaps the least realized and most important weapon in a trader's arsenal. A large percentage of Forex traders fail because they don't have the concept of money management firmly in their grasp. In order to constantly wager hundreds or thousands of dollars, traders have to know the potential of every penny they are risking.

Keys to managing money in the Forex market inevitably involve understanding how much can be put on one trade and how much can be lost on one trade without it affecting the ability to trade in the future.

A good way for traders to minimize profit loss and manage their money is to remember that they are not in a pool hall or casino. Unlike gambling rules, which state that losers need to wage higher bets to increase profits, Forex rules go in the opposite direction. Some traders call this the Anti-Martingale rule: bet more when you are on a winning streak and less when you are losing. Also, never bet more than 1% of your core equity (starting balance-amount in open positions).

Fundamental Analysis

Forex traders who utilize Fundamental analysis often keep one eye focused on the market and the other on a television set tuned to CNN. They will study the news for information on political climate, international relations, natural disasters and other worldly events in order to determine what might be coming up in the trading arena. Fundamental factors that many traders use when deciding whether to stay with a trade or sell, besides those already mentioned, include unemployment rates, inflation, fiscal policy changes, and stocks/bonds/money markets. If an Earthquake occurs in India, for example, fundamental analysts will keep a close eye on the impending changes in the value of Indian currency to determine when to buy or sell. Fundamental analysis studies the causes of market movements. This distinguishes it from technical analysis, which focuses on the effects brought about from those changes. Traders can often use fundamental analysis as a back-up system to confirm whether the market would support a trade that was recommended through technical analysis.

Friday, July 10, 2009

Changes in reserves?

The quantity of foreign exchange reserves can change as a central bank implements monetary policy. A central bank that implements a fixed exchange rate policy may face a situation where supply and demand would tend to push the value of the currency lower or higher (an increase in demand for the currency would tend to push its value higher, and a decrease lower). In a fixed exchange rate regime, these operations occur automatically, with the central bank clearing any excess demand or supply by purchasing or selling the foreign currency. Mixed exchange rate regimes ('dirty floats', target bands or similar variations) may require the use of foreign exchange operations (sterilized or unsterilized) to maintain the targeted exchange rate within the prescribed limits.

Foreign exchange operations that are unsterilized will cause an expansion or contraction in the amount of domestic currency in circulation, and hence directly affect monetary policy and inflation: "An exchange rate target cannot be independent of an inflation target. Countries that do not target a specific exchange rate are said to have a floating exchange rate, and allow the market to set the exchange rate; for countries with floating exchange rates, other instruments of monetary policy are generally preferred and they may limit the type and amount of foreign exchange interventions. Even those central banks that stricly limit foreign exchange interventions, however, often recognize that currency markets can be volatile and may intervene to counter disruptive short-term movements.

To maintain the same exchange rate if there is increased demand, the central bank can issue more of the domestic currency and purchase the foreign currency, which will increase the sum of foreign reserves. In this case, the currency's value is being held down; since (if there is no sterilization) the domestic money supply is increasing (money is being 'printed'), this may provoke domestic inflation (the value of the domestic currency falls relative to the value of goods and services).

To maintain the same exchange rate if there is decreased demand, the central bank can purchase the domestic currency using its foreign reserves, effectively removing the domestic currency from circulation; the total foreign exchange reserves will fall. If there is no sterilization, the domestic money supply is also falling, which will tend to restrain domestic inflation (the value of the domestic currency rises relative to the value of goods and services).

Since the amount of foreign reserves available to defend a weak currency (a currency in low demand) is limited, a foreign exchange crisis or devaluation could be the end result. For a currency in very high and rising demand, foreign exchange reserves can theoretically be continuously accumulated, although eventually the increased domestic money supply will result in inflation and reduce the demand for the domestic currency (as its value relative to goods and services falls). In practice, "Some central banks, through open market operations aimed at preventing their currency from appreciating, can at the same time build substantial reserves.

In practice, few central banks or currency regimes operate on such a simplistic level, and numerous other factors (domestic demand, production and productivity, imports and exports, relative prices of goods and services, etc) will affect the eventual outcome. As certain impacts (such as inflation) can take many months or even years to become evident, changes in foreign reserves and currency values in the short term may be quite large as different markets react to imperfect data.

Foreign exchange reserves?

Foreign exchange reserves (also called Forex reserves) in a strict sense are only the foreign currency deposits held by central banks and monetary authorities. However, the term foreign exchange reserves in popular usage commonly includes foreign exchange and gold, SDRs and IMF reserve position as this total figure is more readily available, however it is accurately deemed as official reserves or international reserves. These are assets of the central banks which are held in different reserve currencies such as the dollar, euro and yen, and which are used to back its liabilities, e.g. the local currency issued, and the various bank reserves deposited with the central bank, by the government or financial institutions.

Monday, July 6, 2009


Foreign exchange trading is mainly about buy and sell activities. The theory is slightly similar with share market to make the profit, there is the only way which is buy at lower price and sell at higher price, or we can also sell at higher price first and buy at lower price. It is actually not that difficult. What we need to do is to analyze the forex in a correct way and do the good trade together with good money management and proper guideline; I can say that success will be eventually more on your side.

Sometimes, trader involves in foreign exchange not because of make profit but just do not want to lose money. Let me take an example, A US Construction Company want to build a subway in Pakistan and it is going to take about 10 years with $50 million construction cost. The first thing this company will do is to hedge the dollar value of the project. By buying or selling US dollar against the future market value, no matter how big the amplitude of the fluctuation, the company will not lose any money.

Sunday, June 28, 2009

Guide to Forex Trading


How to trade the foreign exchange markets for business and profit?


Trillions of dollars trade round the clock on foreign currency exchange markets - forex trading, for short. The forex trading system is conservative and dominated by governments, banks and large companies looking to hedge against potential losses. However, ordinary people also trade foreign exchange, often attempting to ride the differences as currency values rise and fall.

Getting into forex trading requires nerve and some technical skill, as well as an understanding of how global events affect the value of money. In this guide, you'll learn:

1. Which foreign exchange currencies are most commonly traded and why
2. How to do forex trading online through forex trading system Web sites
3. Hedging foreign currency exchange and other risk-abatement concepts
4. Using a managed forex trading account


Forex trading online via forex trading system sites:


The most common way individuals trade currencies is through foreign exchange brokers who operate online. They typically offer access to real-time data, moving price charts and free practice accounts. While legit, they also often promote trading on margin, which can be highly risky for a beginner. Read the fine print and always trade with money you can lose.

Thursday, June 25, 2009

How to Get Started?

People are introduced to the exciting world of foreign exchange in many ways: friends, current events, newspapers, television, and many others. For those of you who are new to forex, the following guidelines cover the basics of currency trading.


Step 1: "Practice makes perfect".

Demo trade. The demo account was designed to help traders gain familiarity with the speed and movements of the market. When you are demo trading, you should learn how to: 1) place market orders to enter a trade, 2) place stop-loss orders to protect your positions, and limit orders to take profits, 3) place OCO orders and If Done Orders to execute more advanced strategies.


Step 2: "Study, Study, Study".

Forex traders use fundamental analysis, technical analysis, quantitative analysis and sometimes a combination of all three to make their trading decisions. Fundamental analysis involves the use of economic, financial and political news to determine trading decisions. Technical analysis involves the study of Charts to predict future price movements based on past price patterns and trends. Quantitative analysis consists of the use of preset statistical models and properties in quantifying price formations such as averages, retracements as well as identifying oversold and undersold situations. In order to help novice and experienced traders alike, MG has developed www.forexnews.com, a leading site on foreign exchange analysis, news and education. Comprehensive previews and summaries updated 4 times per day, insightful editorials covering the latest market developments and an open forum for discussing trading tips and ideas, are just some of the many features of Forexnews.com and MG’s commitment to educating and informing Forex participants.

Step 3: Manage your money wisely.

You should always be aware of the amount of money in your account before placing a trade. If you think a long-term trend is developing, then you should consider whether you have enough funds to maintain your margin and withstand any movements against your position(s) that may occur. We encourage everyone who opens an account with us to ask themselves the following questions prior to entering each trade: 1) How much am I willing to risk?
2) What is my upside and downside potential?
3) What are the market conditions? (Is the market volatile or calm?)
4) What is the logic behind entering this trade?
5) When can I conclude if the assumptions/logic behind the trade are/is correct or wrong? Before entering an order, you should consider both your entry and exit points. One of the mistakes most commonly made by traders, especially new traders, is letting emotions get in the way of their strategy.

Step 4: Stay Connected:

It is impossible to follow the forex market 24 hours day, 7 days a week. For better management of your account, we encourage you to use our Wireless Service and alert!

Step 5: Open a Live Account.

If you feel ready to trade this market, fill out our application forms and submit them today. Since the emotional factor may be higher than it was when you were demo-trading (as you are now committing real money), it is essential that you develop an effective strategy while demo-trading and plan to abide by it when trading your live account. We hope you enjoy trading with us and wish you the best of luck

Thursday, June 4, 2009

Trade Forex?

Forex Trading (or foreign currency trading) is a fast-paced and exciting way to profit from moves in the world financial markets. Our forex trading or foreign currency trading courses are awesome and the hard work to come out these forex trading training course are proven logical, powerful, robust and well presented methodology. We have the great trader and mentor.

1. Trades that makes you money 24 hours even while you sleep.

2. Creates & Trades Forex Signals On Autopilot.

3. Can be tested without any risk Or capital.


Commission?

1· Committee: a special group delegated to consider some matter; "a committee is a group that keeps minutes and loses hours"

2· A fee for services rendered based on a percentage of an amount received or collected or agreed to be paid (as distinguished from a salary); "he works on commission"

3· The act of granting authority to undertake certain functions

4· The state of being in good working order and ready for operation; "put the ships into commission"; "the motor was out of commission"

5· Deputation: a group of representatives or delegates

6· A formal statement of a command or injunction to do something; "the judge's charge to the jury"

7· Put into commission; equip for service; of ships

8· an official document issued by a government and conferring on the recipient the rank of an officer in the armed forces.

Friday, May 15, 2009

Spot Metals?

A system for managing steel inventories in order to reduce the time and expense associated with selling prime and secondary steel that is no longer needed for the original intended application. The system permits sellers to post detailed specification of an item for sale and permits buyers to browse or search the posted inventory to locate items filling specific needs. A buyer may bid on part or all of an item posted and the seller may accept or reject any bid. The buyer and seller engage in an auction by electronic mail and optionally by facsimile. The detailed specifications of the item may be expressed in a variety of unit of measure. Regardless, of unit of measure used by a seller in posting an item, the system performs the necessary conversions to display information to an interested buyer in a unit of measure set by the buyer. A hierarchical menu structure permits ease of use in selecting available options during posting or bidding an item.

Potential advantages of the Improved Process:

• Uses of CATIA V5 in-built function to define and export spot weld data (location and connected panels).

• 100% automatic conversion of CATIA V5 spot weld data to Hyper Mesh readable form.

• 100% automatic definition of spot welds (i.e. connectors) in Hyper Mesh.

• 100% correct spot weld creation in Hyper Mesh œ all spot welds created in Hyper Mesh will be exactly as per

CATIA V5 definition.

• Practically zero percent incidences of missing/incorrect spot welds

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Trader education?

IQ Component Categories:

01

Aptitude (IQ)

02

Attitude

03

Confidence

04

Discipline

05

Education & Experience

06

Focus

07

Life Style

08

Money Management

09

Patience & Judgment

10

Personal Goal

11

Perseverance

12

Psychological Makeup

13

Risk Management

14

Social Needs

15

Success in Prior Life Works

A brief definition of each of the categories above follows to provide a forum for evaluation. Each of the 15 categories has a total value of 10 points making 150 a perfect score. Traders are not expected to get a perfect score. Such a score would be bogus. The goal is to achieve a score > 100. Whatever the score, the key is in the comprehensive evaluation of the component scores.

Note: The author is not a psychologist and therefore concepts are only general in nature.

(API) trade executions?

1. Goals

Desirable wallet properties / features

Define wallet interaction model

Define Clean APIs for wallet and its components

Build Prototype

2. Wallet Features

Extensible: support multiple existing and newly developed instruments and protocols

Non-Web-Centric: can be implemented in non-web environments; extensibility across devices

Symmetric: common services across commerce applications; extensibility across commerce applications

Client-Driven: user initiates all operations, including wallet invocation

An Example

Instrument Instance Selection:
Dilbert’s Citibank MasterCard

Transaction Execution

SET (2KP) PAY

Close Session

balance protection?

Policies – A document that outlines specific requirements or rules that must be met.

Procedures – Procedures define "how" to protect resources and are the mechanisms to enforce policy. Detailed configuration information.

Product – The actual hardware and software to help enforce the policies of an organization.

Security Policy Structure:

Policies define appropriate behavior for your users.

Policies set the stage in terms of what product and procedures are needed.

Policies communicate a consensus from upper management to users.

Policies provide a foundation for HR action in response to inappropriate behavior.

Policies may help prosecute cases or provide evidence of due diligence to prevent cases against the county.

Policies Based on Trust:

Trust everyone all of the time:

easiest to enforce, but impractical

one bad apple can ruin the whole barrel

may not be legally appropriate

Trust no one at no time:

most restrictive, but also impractical

difficult to staff positions

Trust some people some of the time:

exercise caution in amount of trust given

access is given out as needed

technical controls are needed to ensure trust is not violated

Supply and Demand?

Supply and demand is an economic model based on price, utility and quantity in a market. It concludes that in a competitive market, price will function to equalize the quantity demanded by consumers, and the quantity supplied by producers, resulting in an economic equilibrium of price and quantity. Similarly, an increase in the number of workers tends to result in lower wages and vice-versa. The model incorporates other factors changing equilibrium as a shift of demand and/or supply.

Retail forex platform?

Retail forex trading is a segment of the vast foreign exchange market. It has been speculated that it represents 2 percent of the whole forex market which amounts to $50-60 billion in daily trading turnover. Due to the increasing tendency in the past years of the gradual shift from traditional intrabank 'paper' trading to the more advanced and accurate electronic trading, there has been spur in software development in this field. This change provided different types of trading platforms and tools intended for the use by banks, portfolio managers, retail brokers and retail traders. One of the most important tools required to perform a forex transaction is the trading platform providing retail traders and brokers with accurate currency quotes.

Since 1996, when retail forex trading was introduced, several brokers who lacked the sufficient tools developed their own trading platforms tailored specifically to their needs. These platforms were good enough at the time but required constant investments in R&D and its development cost too much. This was the first wave.

The second wave was in the early 2000s: several software companies entered the retail forex trading market by launching their own versions of trading platforms. Typically these versions were cumbersome for both front-end users (retail traders) and back-end users (retail brokers) due to the misunderstanding of the developers about the forex market and also because of the insufficient programming tools/languages at the time. Simultaneously most of the retail brokers kept using and developing their own systems as they waited for better platforms which were yet to be developed.

There are currently few to no brokers which were part of the first wave trading systems. By now most of the first wave brokers have either vanished, merged or progressed to the second wave trading platforms – the most common example of which is Meta quotes.

It is only in the last couple of years that the advanced trading platforms started to emerge. These platforms put much stronger emphasis on the user interface (GUI) making it more accessible to the retail traders while making trading on it very simple and intuitive. Moreover a very strong emphasis was put on the back-end which allowed the retail brokers better control over their operations, better reporting and accurate system and ways to manage marketing campaigns. Gradually this wave is replacing the previous second wave with a major shift now to the friendlier and more intuitive systems of the third wave which according to Aite Group are necessary in order to maintain growth.

Foreign Exchange Market?

The foreign exchange market (currency, forex, or FX) is where currency trading takes place. It is where banks and other official institutions facilitate the buying and selling of foreign currencies. FX transactions typically involve one party purchasing a quantity of one currency in exchange for paying a quantity of another. The foreign exchange market that we see today started evolving during the 1970s when worldover countries gradually switched to floating exchange rate from their erstwhile exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system until 1971. Presently, the FX market is one of the largest and most liquid financial markets in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, corporations, governments, and other financial institutions. The average daily volume in the global foreign exchange and related markets is continuously growing. Traditional daily turnover was reported to be over US$3.2 trillion in April 2007 by the Bank for International Settlements. Since then, the market has continued to grow. According to Euromoney's annual FX Poll, volumes grew a further 41% between 2007 and 2008. The purpose of FX market is to facilitate trade and investment. The need for a foreign exchange market arises because of the presence of multifarious international currencies such as US Dollars, Euros, Japanese yen, Pounds Sterling, etc., and the need for trading in such currencies.

There are two types of retail brokers offering the opportunity for speculative trading: retail foreign exchange brokers and market makers. Retail traders (individuals) are a small fraction of this market and may only participate indirectly through brokers or banks. Retail brokers, while largely controlled and regulated by the CFTC and NFA might be subject to foreign exchange scams. At present, the NFA and CFTC are imposing stricter requirements, particularly in relation to the amount of Net Capitalization required of its members. As a result many of the smaller, and perhaps questionable brokers are now gone. It is not widely understood that retail brokers and market makers typically trade against their clients and frequently take the other side of their trades. This can often create a potential conflict of interest and give rise to some of the unpleasant experiences some traders have had. A move toward NDD (No Dealing Desk) and STP (Straight Through Processing) has helped to resolve some of these concerns and restore trader confidence, but caution is still advised in ensuring that all is as it is presented.

Investment management firms (who typically manage large accounts on behalf of customers such as pension funds and endowments) use the foreign exchange market to facilitate transactions in foreign securities. For example, an investment manager bearing an international equity portfolio needs to purchase and sell several pairs of foreign currencies to pay for foreign securities purchases. Some investment management firms also have more speculative specialist currency overlay operations, which manage clients' currency exposures with the aim of generating profits as well as limiting risk. Whilst the number of this type of specialist firms is quite small, many have a large value of assets under management (AUM), and hence can generate large trades.

About 70% to 90% of the foreign exchange transactions are speculative. In other words, the person or institution that bought or sold the currency has no plan to actually take delivery of the currency in the end; rather, they were solely speculating on the movement of that particular currency. Hedge funds have gained a reputation for aggressive currency speculation since 1996. They control billions of dollars of equity and may borrow billions more, and thus may overwhelm intervention by central banks to support almost any currency, if the economic fundamentals are in the hedge funds' favor.

Central banks?

National central banks play an important role in the foreign exchange markets. They try to control the money supply, inflation, and/or interest rates and often have official or unofficial target rates for their currencies. They can use their often substantial foreign exchange reserves to stabilize the market. Milton Friedman argued that the best stabilization strategy would be for central banks to buy when the exchange rate is too low, and to sell when the rate is too high—that is, to trade for a profit based on their more precise information. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of central bank "stabilizing speculation" is doubtful because central banks do not go bankrupt if they make large losses, like other traders would, and there is no convincing evidence that they do make a profit trading. The mere expectation or rumor of central bank intervention might be enough to stabilize a currency, but aggressive intervention might be used several times each year in countries with a dirty float currency regime. Central banks do not always achieve their objectives. The combined resources of the market can easily overwhelm any central bank.[7] Several scenarios of this nature were seen in the 1992–93 ERM collapse, and in more recent times in Southeast Asia.

Commercial companies?

An important part of this market comes from the financial activities of companies seeking foreign exchange to pay for goods or services. Commercial companies often trade fairly small amounts compared to those of banks or speculators, and their trades often have little short term impact on market rates. Nevertheless, trade flows are an important factor in the long-term direction of a currency's exchange rate. Some multinational companies can have an unpredictable impact when very large positions are covered due to exposures that are not widely known by other market participants.

Banks?

The interbank market caters for both the majority of commercial turnover and large amounts of speculative trading every day. A large bank may trade billions of dollars daily. Some of this trading is undertaken on behalf of customers, but much is conducted by proprietary desks, trading for the bank's own account. Until recently, foreign exchange brokers did large amounts of business, facilitating interbank trading and matching anonymous counterparts for small fees. Today, however, much of this business has moved on to more efficient electronic systems. The broker squawk box lets traders listen in on ongoing interbank trading and is heard in most trading rooms, but turnover is noticeably smaller than just a few years ago.

Money transfer companies/remittance companies perform high-volume low-value transfers generally by economic migrants back to their home country. In 2007, the Aite Group estimated that there were $369 billion of remittances (an increase of 8% on the previous year). The four largest markets (India, China, Mexico and the Philippines) receive $95 billion. The largest and best known provider is Western Union with 345,000 agents globally.

Determinants of FX Rates?

See also: exchange rates The following theories explain the fluctuations in FX rates in a floating exchange rate regime (In a fixed exchange rate regime, FX rates are decided by its government): (a) International parity conditions viz; purchasing power parity, interest rate parity, Domestic Fisher effect, International Fisher effect. Though to some extent the above theories provide logical explanation for the fluctuations in exchange rates, yet these theories falter as they are based on challengeable assumptions [e.g., free flow of goods, services and capital] which seldom hold true in the real world. (b) Balance of payments model (see exchange rate). This model, however, focuses largely on tradable goods and services, ignoring the increasing role of global capital flows. It failed to provide any explanation for continuous appreciation of dollar during 1980s and most part of 1990s in face of soaring US current account deficit. (c) Asset market model (see exchange rate) views currencies as an important asset class for constructing investment portfolios. Assets prices are influenced mostly by people’s willingness to hold the existing quantities of assets, which in turn depends on their expectations on the future worth of these assets. The asset market model of exchange rate determination states that “the exchange rate between two currencies represents the price that just balances the relative supplies of, and demand for, assets denominated in those currencies.” None of the models developed so far succeed to explain FX rates levels and volatility in the longer time frames. For shorter time frames (less than a few days) algorithm can be devised to predict prices. Large and small institutions and professional individual traders have made consistent profits from it. It is understood from above models that many macroeconomic factors affect the exchange rates and in the end currency prices are a result of dual forces of demand and supply. The world's currency markets can be viewed as a huge melting pot: in a large and ever-changing mix of current events, supply and demand factors are constantly shifting, and the price of one currency in relation to another shifts accordingly. No other market encompasses (and distills) as much of what is going on in the world at any given time as foreign exchange. Supply and demand for any given currency, and thus its value, are not influenced by any single element, but rather by several. These elements generally fall into three categories: economic factors, political conditions and market psychology.

;;
free counters
Increase traffic

Contact

Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan
Phone # 03337531003